GoldBreakM15Short is a precision-engineered, short-only momentum breakout cBot built exclusively for XAUUSD on the M15 timeframe. Developed for traders who demand structured, rule-based execution with no ambiguity - every trade enters with a reason, and exits with a plan.

🎯 What This Bot Does

GoldBreakM15Short identifies high-probability bearish breakouts on Gold by requiring simultaneous confirmation from multiple independent technical layers before committing to a position. This multi-layered confluence approach dramatically reduces false breakouts and ensures the bot only trades when market structure, momentum, and selling pressure are all aligned.

This is not a grid strategy. Not a Martingale system. Not a hedging bot.
Every single trade carries a predefined Stop Loss and Take Profit - no open-ended exposure, ever.

⚙️ Strategy Logic

The entry signal fires only when all of the following conditions are met simultaneously:

Keltner Channel Breakdown - Price closes below the lower band (EMA - ATR multiplier), confirming a structural momentum shift to the downside

Hybrid WaveTrend Signal - Two modes, both bearish:

• Reversal Mode: WaveTrend crosses from positive territory into negative within a configurable lookback window - catching early reversals at trend turns
• Continuation Mode: WaveTrend is deeply negative (below a configurable threshold) - riding sustained downtrends without waiting for a fresh crossover

Money Flow Index (MFI) < Threshold - Confirms genuine selling pressure backs the move, not a low-volume rejection spike

EMA Downtrend Alignment - Price must be below both Fast EMA and Slow EMA simultaneously, requiring structural trend confirmation before entry

ATR Expansion Filter - ATR must be expanding relative to its 20-bar baseline, confirming that momentum is present and not exhausted

ATR Volatility Ceiling - ATR must remain below 1.55× its baseline, filtering out choppy, erratic conditions where breakouts are unreliable

CCI Below Dynamic Lower Band - CCI must fall below its own SMA − StdDev band, requiring momentum confirmation from a second independent oscillator

Big-Move Exhaustion Guard - Filters out entries after large parabolic moves statistically prone to snapback reversals

All conditions must be true at the same time. A weaker signal from any single indicator is never sufficient.

🛡️ Risk Management

Risk is managed at three independent levels:

Per-Trade Risk

• Risk-based position sizing - lot size is calculated dynamically as a percentage of current account equity (not balance), so floating losses on open positions automatically reduce the next entry size
• Fixed lot mode available as an override
• Spread is factored into the risk calculation - the true cost of entry is always reflected in position size
• Minimum volume floor detection - if broker minimum volume would cause actual risk to exceed 1.5× the target, the trade is automatically skipped

Intraday Protection

• Daily equity drawdown limit - blocks new entries once intraday equity drops a configurable percentage below the day's opening equity
• Uses Account.Equity (not Balance), so unrealized losses on open positions count toward the daily limit in real time

Account-Level Protection

• Peak-to-trough total drawdown limit - halts new entries permanently once equity falls a configurable percentage below its all-time peak
• The equity watermark is persisted to disk across restarts, so rebooting the bot does not silently reset the drawdown counter

📐 Trade Execution & Exit Logic

Stop Loss is placed at the nearest confirmed pivot high plus an ATR buffer - a structural stop, not an arbitrary pip distance. When no valid pivot is found, an ATR-based fallback (SlMultiplier × WidthFactor × ATR) is used automatically.

Take Profit is set at a configurable Reward:Risk multiple below the entry price. An optional TP Boost (×1.3 by default) applies when the entry bar is a wide-range impulse candle, the fast EMA has been falling for three consecutive bars, and the bar closes bearish — capturing stronger momentum moves with a proportionally wider target.

Break-Even moves the Stop Loss to entry - a pip buffer once price reaches a configurable percentage of the distance to Take Profit, locking in the trade for free.

SL and TP are applied to the actual fill price, not the bar close - eliminating the slippage divergence that occurs when stops are calculated from pre-fill prices.

All ModifyPosition calls are single-attempt with no blocking sleeps. If SL/TP modification fails, the position is immediately closed - the bot never leaves an unprotected trade open.

Weekend Protection - Positions can be automatically closed on Friday at a configurable hour (default 23:00 CET) to avoid weekend gap risk.

🔒 Additional Safeguards

• Spread filter - skips entries when the live spread exceeds a configurable threshold (default 3.5 pips), protecting against news spikes and rollover periods
• Separate BE spread limit - break-even modification uses its own configurable spread ceiling (default 6.0 pips), preventing the BE trigger from being permanently blocked during news events
• Cooldown bars - minimum bar count between consecutive entries, preventing re-entry chasing immediately after a close
• One position at a time - no pyramiding, no stacking
• Full startup parameter log - every live run and backtest records its exact configuration to the cTrader log for audit and reproducibility
• Position close event logging - every SL hit, TP hit, and manual close is logged with realized P&L, hold time, and equity snapshot

📊 Backtest Results - Sep 2025 to Apr 2026 (7 months, accurate tick data)

MetricValue

Period

01 Sep 2025 - 02 Apr 2026

Starting Capital

€1,500

Ending Balance

€1,806

Net Profit

+€306 (+20%)

Profit Factor

1.24

Total Trades

63 (100% Short)

Win Rate

54% (34W / 29L)

Max Balance Drawdown

24.20%

Max Equity Drawdown

24.75%

Largest Winning Trade

€88.10

Largest Losing Trade

-€73.32

Average Trade

€4.86

Commission Included

Yes (-€18.10)

Screenshots include the equity curve, full trade statistics panel, and individual trade history - all verified with the same parameter set shown in the left panel.

📋 Recommended Setup

SettingValue

Symbol

XAUUSD

Timeframe

M15

Minimum Account

€1,500 / $1,500

Recommended Leverage

1:50 or higher

Risk Per Trade

1 - 3%

Broker Type

ECN/Raw Spread

✅ What This Bot Is NOT

❌ No Grid
❌ No Martingale
❌ No Hedging
❌ No averaging down
❌ No open-ended trades without SL/TP

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer

Trading involves significant risk. Past performance - in backtests or live results - does not guarantee future returns. This cBot does not guarantee profits. Test thoroughly on a demo account before deploying on a live account. Adjust risk parameters according to your personal risk tolerance and account size. This is not financial advice.

🏷️ Promotional pricing is available for the first 5 buyers only. Once those slots are taken, the price returns to its standard rate. If you're seeing this price, the offer is still active - act accordingly.