A rules-based contrarian system for COMEX copper, grounded in 22 years of statistical validation.

Overview

This cBot trades a disciplined mean-reversion approach on copper — one of the most structurally range-bound instruments in the commodity complex. It combines volatility-scaled ATR stops, a fixed 3:1 reward-to-risk structure, and professional-style fixed-fractional position sizing (1% of equity per trade by default). Built for the daily timeframe.

Rigorously validated

The core logic has been stress-tested across 22 years of daily copper data using an institutional-standard validation battery:

• Out-of-sample testing — the edge held on data it was never fitted to
• Permutation testing — results shown to be statistically distinguishable from chance
• Monte Carlo simulation — 10,000 resampled paths mapping the full outcome distribution
• Data-integrity cleaning — corrupted price records removed before analysis

A transparent, evidence-first approach — not curve-fitting, not black-box promises.

Please note

• Backtested on COMEX copper futures; live trading via IC Markets uses a copper CFD, which may differ in pricing and behaviour.
• Backtest results do not include slippage or commissions.
• Beta release for forward-testing and evaluation.

Risk warning

CFDs are complex instruments with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. Past performance, including backtested performance, is not a reliable indicator of future results. This is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. [Your business name] is not FCA-authorised. You may lose some or all of your capital.

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