Açıklama
**RTS: TrendSeeker** is a fully automated, **long-only daily-momentum** cBot built from a disciplined, 5-year data research program (2021-2026, verified OHLC). It scans **9 major currencies and Gold** and trades a single, rigorously validated edge — nothing more, nothing guessed.
### The strategy ###
- **Entry:** long when `ROC(20) = close − close[20 bars ago] > 0` at the daily close -> buy at the next day's open.
- **Exit (first hit):** momentum flip (`ROC(20) <= 0`) -> exit at next open, **or** a 10-day time stop.
- **Long-only by design:** the short side lost money in 4 of 5 full years in the research — so the bot only trades the direction that works.
- **Concurrent positions:** one per symbol, up to 9 at once, each managed independently on its own daily bars.
### Universe ###
AUDJPY, CADJPY, CHFJPY, EURJPY, GBPJPY, NZDJPY, USDCAD, USDJPY, XAUUSD (Gold)
### How it trades ###
- **Fixed min-volume sizing** (FX 0.01 lot, Gold 0.01 lot) — no risk targeting, no skipped trades; works on any account size.
- **Optional insurance stop** (4xATR) to cap tail risk on the biggest movers.
- **On-chart dashboard** — equity, day P&L, drawdown, open positions, per-symbol status.
- **Structured logs** — every entry shows actual risk %; every exit is tagged flip/time-stop.
- **Runs on cTrader Cloud** — 24/7 automation even when your computer is off. No VPS needed.
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## Backtest results — headline ###
| Metric | TrendSeeker |
|---|---|
| Trades (2021+ segment) | **1,202** |
| Net (R-multiples) | **+176.6R** |
| Profit factor | **1.26** |
| Win rate | **48%** |
| Positive full years (2021-2026) | **5/5** |
| Per-symbol highlight — XAUUSD | **+49.8R, PF 1.68** |
## Per-symbol contribution (2021+ segment) ###
| Symbol | Trades | Net (R) |
|---|---|---|
| XAUUSD | 133 | **+49.8** |
| CHFJPY | 141 | +38.2 |
| USDJPY | 136 | +34.9 |
| AUDJPY | 131 | +19.6 |
| EURJPY | 139 | +14.3 |
| CADJPY | 132 | +14.0 |
| USDCAD | 136 | +2.7 |
| NZDJPY | 123 | +1.8 |
| GBPJPY | 131 | +1.3 |
| **POOL** | **1,202** | **+176.6** |
## Full-window & out-of-sample (2018-2026, extended) ###
| Window | Trades | Net (R) | PF | MDD% | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| **FULL** (2018-2026) | 1,797 | +155.4 | 1.15 | 29.4 | 0.40 |
| **TRAIN** (2018-2024) | 1,431 | +133.3 | 1.16 | 26.6 | 0.44 |
| **OOS** (2025-2026) | 366 | **+22.1** | 1.10 | 29.4 | 0.27 |
| Year bar (2018-25) | — | 7/8 positive | — | — | — |
## Year-by-year pooled net (R) ###
| Year | Net (R) |
|---|---|
| 2018 | -32.3 |
| 2019 | +2.2 |
| 2020 | +12.8 |
| 2021 | +31.7 |
| 2022 | +41.4 |
| 2023 | +39.0 |
| 2024 | +38.5 |
| 2025 | +57.5 |
| 2026 (partial) | -35.3 |
## Net-of-cost (IC Markets, 2021+ segment) ###
| Cost band | Net (R) | PF | MDD% | Sharpe |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zero cost | +155.4 | 1.15 | 29.4 | 0.40 |
| LOW (spread) | +146.6 | 1.14 | 29.6 | 0.38 |
| MID (spread+swap) | +149.1 | 1.14 | 29.6 | 0.38 |
| HIGH (spread+slip+swap) | +144.7 | 1.14 | 29.7 | 0.37 |
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## Honest caveats (read before buying) ###
1. **2026 has been the weakest stretch on record** — drawdown periods are expected and should not be chased.
2. **Research modeled costs** — live spread, swap and slippage reduce the net edge (JPY crosses carry roll).
3. **The edge is regime-dependent** — concentrated in 2021+ JPY-weakness / gold-trend conditions.
4. **Past performance does not guarantee future results.** This is a trading tool, not investment advice; only trade capital you can afford to lose.
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## Requirements ###
- cTrader Desktop (Windows / Mac) or Web
- Any account with the 9 symbols tradable
- Demo or live
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Copyright (c) 2026 Rocco Trading System (RTS). All rights reserved.
