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AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel
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12/12/2025
Desktop

AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel transforms any cTrader symbol into a live risk-regime dashboard 🛰️.
Instead of relying on multiple ETFs like the original multi-asset Absorption Ratio, this indicator builds a single-symbol AR proxy directly from the price action of the instrument you’re trading:
- 📉 It calculates log returns of the current symbol.
- 🔗 It measures autocorrelation of returns across several lags (1…7 bars, depending on the correlation period).
- 📊 It aggregates the average absolute autocorrelation and maps it into a normalized Absorption Ratio between 0.5 and 1.0 — higher values mean more concentration and tighter behaviour.
- 🧬 It smooths the raw signal with an EMA, producing a stable AR curve.
- 🧪 Over a rolling statistical lookback, it computes:
- the mean and standard deviation of AR
- the current Z-Score (how many σ above/below the mean)
- the percentile rank of today’s AR vs history
- 🤖 With Auto Thresholds enabled, the indicator continuously self-calibrates risk levels:
- Low Risk ≈
mean − 0.5σ - High Risk ≈
mean + 0.5σ - Extreme Risk ≈
mean + 1.5σ
Values are clamped to[0…1]and updated bar by bar, so the regimes adapt to each symbol and timeframe.
- Low Risk ≈
- 🧱 From these thresholds, AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel defines four dynamic regimes:
- LOW → dispersed, easy-going / risk-on environment
- NORMAL → balanced / neutral conditions
- HIGH → elevated clustering, risk-off tendencies
- EXTREME → stressed environment, potential systemic risk spike 🛑
- 🕯️ On the main chart, candles can be color-coded by risk:
This gives you an immediate visual filter: for example, only trade trend entries when candles are not in red/orange, or size down during stressed regimes. - 🔴 Red → AR statistically stressed (Z-Score ≥ threshold)
- 🟢 Lime → AR statistically calm (Z-Score ≤ −threshold)
- 🟧 / 🟡 Orange/Yellow → above High / near Extreme
- ⚪ Gray → neutral zone
- 💚 Green → low AR, more dispersed / risk-on behaviour
- 🎯 Optional mean-reversion signals in the AR panel:
- 🟢 Buy arrow when AR is statistically calm and starts to turn up
- 🔴 Sell arrow when AR is statistically stressed and starts to roll over
- 📋 A compact info panel in the top-left corner displays:
- current AR value
- active Regime + duration (bars spent in this regime)
- Percentile, Z-Score and qualitative Status (STRESSED / CALM / NORMAL)
- risk Bias (RISK-ON / RISK-OFF / NEUTRAL)
- the effective Low / High / Extreme thresholds used and whether Auto Thresholds are ON or OFF
Use AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel to:
- avoid trading during statistically stressed, risk-off regimes
- identify calm environments where breakouts or trend-following may work better
- contextualize any strategy inside a dynamic risk regime framework rather than using fixed volatility filters.
⚙️ Parameters (store docs)
Core ⚙️
- Correlation Period – Length of the autocorrelation window. Controls how much history is used to estimate the Absorption Ratio. Larger values = smoother, more “macro” regime; smaller values = faster but noisier.
- Smoothing (EMA) – EMA period applied to the raw AR signal. Higher values smooth regime changes, lower values make the indicator more reactive.
- Statistical Lookback – Lookback period for AR mean, standard deviation, Z-Score and percentile. Governs how fast the statistical baseline adapts.
Thresholds 🚦
- Extreme Risk / Elevated Risk / Low Risk – Manual thresholds for AR regimes (LOW / NORMAL / HIGH / EXTREME) used when Auto Thresholds is OFF. With Auto ON they are ignored for logic and only visible as defaults.
- Use Auto Thresholds – When ON, thresholds are derived from the rolling AR statistics:
- Low Risk = mean − 0.5σ
- Elevated Risk = mean + 0.5σ
- Extreme Risk = mean + 1.5σ
Signals 🎯
- Z-Score Threshold – Minimum absolute Z-Score to classify AR as statistically extreme. Drives STRESSED/CALM labels, candle overrides, and mean-reversion arrows.
- Show Reversal Signals – Enables/disables BUY/SELL arrows in the AR sub-window.
- Show Statistical Bands – Toggles ±2σ bands and the mean line around AR.
Visual 🎨
- Show Threshold Lines – Shows the effective Low / High / Extreme levels used by the regime engine (manual or auto).
- Color Candles – Colors price candles according to Z-Score and regime level for instant risk visualization.
- Show Info Panel – Displays the text panel in the top-left corner with AR, regime, stats and bias.
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