Indicator
Breakout
BreakOut_Probability_Expo
"BreakOut_Probability_Expo" logo
4.0
03/09/2025
189
Desktop
Since 09/01/2025
Free installs
4660
"BreakOut_Probability_Expo" uploaded image"BreakOut_Probability_Expo" uploaded image"BreakOut_Probability_Expo" uploaded image"BreakOut_Probability_Expo" uploaded image

Breakout Probability is a valuable indicator that calculates the probability of a new high or low and displays it as a level with its percentage. The probability of a new high and low is backtested, and the results are shown in a table— a simple way to understand the next candle's likelihood of a new high or low. In addition, the indicator displays an additional four levels above and under the candle with the probability of hitting these levels.

The indicator helps traders to understand the likelihood of the next candle's direction, which can be used to set your trading bias.


█ Calculations

The algorithm calculates all the green and red candles separately depending on whether the previous candle was red or green and assigns scores if one or more lines were reached. The algorithm then calculates how many candles reached those levels in history and displays it as a percentage value on each line.


█ Example

In this example, the previous candlestick was green; we can see that a new high has been hit 72.82% of the time and the low only 28.29%. In this case, a new high was made.

4.0
Reviews: 2
5
50 %
4
0 %
3
50 %
2
0 %
1
0 %
Customer reviews
August 18, 2025
Clear probability display, effective for breakout strategies, customizable. Cons: No alerts, no MTF mode, possible delays on big history.
May 2, 2025
Great indicator! It's nice to see one of Trading Views' most useful indicators converted, but is there an issue with the code? Sometimes, the percentage values are over 100%, and the values are not comparable to Trading Views' values. Also, is there a way to update the percentage only after close?
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