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Prediction Based on Linreg & ATR
Logo "Prediction Based on Linreg &  ATR"
03/09/2025
119
Desktop
Kể từ 03/10/2024
Lượt bán
105
Cài đặt miễn phí
16420
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Pinescriptlabs Store indicators:                        🤖Pinescriptlabs  Store cBots :


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Reactive Moving Average

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Resistance Trend Lines

All Support and
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Dynamic Range Momentum


📈 Multi-Timeframe Regression Channel & ATR Prediction Algorithm

This system predicts an asset's potential price movement by combining multi-timeframe trend analysis 📊, market volatility 📉, and technical indicator confirmation ✅. Its goal is to project a future price range with measurable confidence, ideal for identifying high-probability risk-reward opportunities 💰.

🔧 How It Works Step by Step

1️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis

  • Regression Channels Across Timeframes:
    The algorithm simultaneously analyzes four different timeframes (from short to long-term). For each:
    • Calculates a statistical trend line based on historical price behavior.
    • Defines a prediction channel around this line (using past volatility to set upper/lower bounds).
  • Hierarchical Influence:
    Shorter timeframes carry more weight in the final direction, reflecting their sensitivity to recent movements.

2️⃣ Volatility Integration (ATR) 🌊

  • Dynamic Volatility Adjustment:
    Predictions adapt to current market conditions:
    • High volatility → Wider projections
    • Low volatility → Conservative adjustments
  • Future Range Scaling:
    The prediction band automatically adjusts based on expected volatility.

3️⃣ Trend Confirmation System ✅

Combines four key signals to validate or challenge the regression-based direction:

  • Moving Average Crosses (trend confirmation)
  • Momentum Oscillators (strength assessment)
  • Volatility Indicators (overbought/oversold detection)
  • Divergence Analysis (trend reversal clues)
  • Output: A scoring system that reinforces or questions the predicted trend.

4️⃣ Confidence Calculation 🎯

  • Timeframe Alignment:
    Confidence increases when trends agree across timeframes.
  • User-Defined Threshold:
    Traders can set a minimum confidence level to filter only high-certainty signals.

5️⃣ Intuitive Visualization 📉📈

  • Prediction Line:
    Shows the central expected path (green = bullish 🟢, red = bearish 🔴, gray = neutral ⚪).
  • Range Bands:
    Highlight the most probable price movement zone, adjusted for volatility.
  • Info Label:
    Summarizes projected price, range, direction, and confidence level.

🌟 Key Advantages

  • Multi-Dimensional Approach: Combines trend, volatility & momentum to reduce false signals.
  • Self-Adjusting: Adapts to choppy or trending markets automatically.
  • Transparent Metrics: Quantifiable confidence helps manage expectations.

📌 Practical Example

If the system detects:

  • Bullish trend in short timeframes + momentum confirmation
  • Low recent volatility
  • Strong timeframe agreement
    → Projects a price rise with a tight band and high confidence (e.g., 85%) 🚀
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