Nhà môi giới & tự doanh
Dành cho doanh nghiệp
00
Days
:
00
Hours
:
00
Minutes
:
00
Seconds
Chỉ báo
NAS100
NZDUSD
XAUUSD
Stocks
Forex
EURUSD
GBPUSD
Crypto
BTCUSD
USDJPY
Bayesian Price Projection Model
03/10/2025
107
Desktop
Kể từ 03/10/2024
Lượt bán
119
Cài đặt miễn phí
22524
Ảnh "Bayesian Price Projection Model" được tải lênẢnh "Bayesian Price Projection Model" được tải lênẢnh "Bayesian Price Projection Model" được tải lênẢnh "Bayesian Price Projection Model" được tải lên

🚀 10,000+ traders already use our TOP indicators🏆

Discover why professionals choose us – the most powerful tools on cTrader (indicators, algorithms, and cBots) are waiting for you.

👉 Get all our TOP systems here:

_______________________________________________

📌 Market Structure Indicators

·     ✅ AdvancedMarket Structure: Bos, Choch, SwinLevels, Order Blocks,  Market Structure& Liquidity Finder

·     🔄 Dynamic Market StructureAnalysis of Turning Points

·     🧱 Order Block

·     ⚖️ Market Imbalance

·     ⛓️ BOS & CHOCH

·     🧠 ICT Power of 3

·     🌀 Market Polarity Zones

_______________________________________________

🔚 Smart Exit Systems

·     📍 Trailing Smart Algorithm

_______________________________________________

📐 ZigZag Indicators

·     🔍 ZigZag Price LiquidityProjection

·     🧭 S&R Structural ZigZag

·     ➖ ZigZag

·     🎯 Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker

_______________________________________________

🧱 Support & Resistance Indicators

·     🟩 SmartTrend Support &Resistance Lines

·     🧱 All Support and ResistanceLevels

_______________________________________________

📊 Trend & Channel Indicators

·     🔄 Auto-Trend Channel

·     📊 Supertrend

·     ⚡Momentum Trend Analyzer

·     🧠 Adaptive Trend Channel

·     💥 Channel Breakout System

·     🌈 Dynamic Trend Gradient

·     ⭐ PREMIUM SSL CHANNEL

·     🔁 Reactive Moving Average

_______________________________________________

💧 Volume & Liquidity Tools

·     🔥 Volume POC Heatmap

·     📉 Leverage Liquidation Map

·     🔍 Momentum Fair Value Gap

·     🕒 Fair Value Gap Sessions

_______________________________________________

Momentum & RSI Indicators

·     📈 RSI Trend Trigger

·     🚀 Dynamic Range Momentum

·     🔎 Multi-Level Candle Bias
Tracker

_______________________________________________

🔮 Prediction & Projection Tools

·     📐 Prediction Based on Linreg& ATR

·     📏 Fibonacci Linear RegressionMulti-timeframe

·     📈 Volume-Powered Market Flow Projector

📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈

This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.

Here’s how it works:

🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.



🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\[
P(A|B) = \frac{P(B|A) \cdot P(A)}{P(B)}
\]
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.

- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.



🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.

---

🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.


🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.

⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀

0.0
Đánh giá: 0
Đánh giá của khách hàng
Sản phẩm này chưa có đánh giá nào. Bạn đã dùng thử chưa? Hãy là người đầu tiên chia sẻ với mọi người!
Sản phẩm khác của tác giả này
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
ZigZag
ZigZag filters noise, spots trends, patterns, pivots, aiding analysis, trade management, and confirmations. 📉📈
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Order Block
Identify bullish and bearish Order Blocks to spot key support/resistance levels and potential trend reversals! 📈🔄
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Auto-Trend Channel
Adaptive trend channel using linear regression and Pearson correlation for dynamic support, resistance, and trends.
Chỉ báo
RSI
XAUUSD
Breakout
+5
BOS & CHOCH
Market structural patterns , specifically the concepts of Change of Character (ChoCH) 🔄 and Break of Structure (BoS) 💥
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Volume POC Heatmap
📊 Shows volume by price levels, highlights POC, and key zones. Identifies dynamic support/resistance and imbalances.
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
All Support and Resistance Levels
"Identify key market zones and visualize support/resistance from multiple timeframes on a single chart.
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Zones Supply Demand
📊Zones Supply & Demand: Identifies key price levels with high volume concentration, marking Supply/Demand Zones & Marke
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Supertrend
💹 Define a price channel 📈 and determine trend direction (bullish 🟢 or bearish 🔴).
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Fair Value Gap Sessions
identify and highlight temporary market inefficiencies known as "fair value gaps" 🚨 within specific trading Sessions.
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Dynamic Market Structure Analysis of Turning Points
Identify market structure effortlessly with swing highs, lows, CHoCH, and BOS levels for smart trading decisions! 📊🔍"
Chỉ báo
Indices
RSI
XAUUSD
+7
RSI Divergence
Detects bullish and bearish divergences
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Trend Heikin Multi MA
🚀 TrendHeikinMultiMA: Advanced trend detection using Heikin-Ashi smoothing & MAs! Eliminates noise, confirms real trend
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Multi-Level Candle Bias Tracker
Price direction by calculating the probability of reaching new highs/lows. Shows levels & stats📈
Advanced Market Structure Bos,Choch,SwinLevels, Order Blog
Advanced price action tool that combines multiple technical analysis concepts
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Market Trend OB
Price action to detect when the market changes trend (MSB) and defines, order blocks , ZigZag etc.📊
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Leverage Liquidation Map
📊 Liquidation Map: Potential areas where highly leveraged investors might face liquidations.
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Swing Levels
🔍 Automatically detect support and resistance levels based on "swings" or pivots
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker
Dynamically adjusts regression channels based on ZigZag extremes, resetting when price breaks bands to track real trends
Bạn cũng có thể thích
Larry Williams 9.1
Larry Williams 9.1
Chỉ báo
NAS100
Martingale
Forex
+25
Fair Value Gap Pro+
Exploit market imbalances with auto FVG zones—fade, extend, and filter with precision.
VegaXLR - Auto Support and Resistance
cTrader Auto Support & Resistance detects key levels with Fibonacci analysis and sends real-time trading alerts.
Chỉ báo
Indices
Breakout
Supertrend
[CB] Pivot Points Pro
You can use the cTrader Pivot Points Pro indicator to find a good pullback entry in a trend
Chỉ báo
NZDUSD
Breakout
FVG
+7
SmartMoneyConceptsIndicator
Automatically displays "Smart Money Concepts" used by professional traders.
Chỉ báo
Indices
RSI
Signal
QQE
The QQE enhances the RSI by incorporating moving averages. This version includes fast and slow trailing levels.
Chỉ báo
NAS100
NZDUSD
XAUUSD
+14
Donchian Channel Pro
Tracks N-period highs/lows, HTF overlay, HUDs with ADX, RSI, session clocks. Customizable for precise trading.
IR VLine
don't move to the end of chart after timeframe changing. it should be better to use for near history. for long history
Chỉ báo
NAS100
RSI
NZDUSD
+19
SMC + FVG Binary Signal Pro
SMC/ICT signals using FVG + liquidity sweep/MSS with EMA-RSI-MACD filters, clear visuals, and actionable alerts.
Chỉ báo
Grid
NAS100
NZDUSD
+13
Standard Deviation Channel
Visualize trends with Standard Deviation Channel! Display median, and add customizable upper/lower deviation channels.
Volume-Powered Market Flow Projector
Project market behavior by integrating price and volume data across multiple time dimensions
Chỉ báo
NAS100
NZDUSD
Breakout
+15
Professional-grade Anchored VWAP
It calculates Anchored VWAP and StdDev bands from a user-defined start date for cTrader charts.
Moving Average Plus
10 configurable moving averages: choose type, period, color per line; single price source for all.
Chỉ báo
FVG
Fibonacci
Fair Value Gap (Extended)
Detect FVGs with age, status, Fibonacci levels, and customizable fill threshold—extended version.
Chỉ báo
Indices
XAUUSD
Forex
+3
Three Candle Patterns
Spot powerful 3-candle reversal patterns like Morning/Evening Star and Soldiers/Crows at key swing highs and lows
Chỉ báo
Grid
NAS100
RSI
+19
Know sure thing
Know Sure Thing (KST) momentum engine
ICT MACRO THEORY
Are essentially short intervals during which the algorithm seeks liquidity or adjusts price.....
Chỉ báo
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
+3
Fibonacci Linear Regression Multi-timeframe
Combining Fibonacci levels and regression to analyze multidimensional market trends across multiple timeframes¡