지표
NAS100
NZDUSD
XAUUSD
Stocks
Forex
EURUSD
GBPUSD
Crypto
BTCUSD
USDJPY
Bayesian Price Projection Model
"Bayesian Price Projection Model" 로고
03/10/2025
61
Desktop
"Bayesian Price Projection Model" 업로드된 이미지"Bayesian Price Projection Model" 업로드된 이미지"Bayesian Price Projection Model" 업로드된 이미지"Bayesian Price Projection Model" 업로드된 이미지

🚀 10,000+ traders already use our TOP indicators🏆

Discover why professionals choose us – the most powerful tools on cTrader (indicators, algorithms, and cBots) are waiting for you.

👉 Get all our TOP systems here:

_______________________________________________

📌 Market Structure Indicators

·     ✅ AdvancedMarket Structure: Bos, Choch, SwinLevels, Order Blocks,  Market Structure& Liquidity Finder

·     🔄 Dynamic Market StructureAnalysis of Turning Points

·     🧱 Order Block

·     ⚖️ Market Imbalance

·     ⛓️ BOS & CHOCH

·     🧠 ICT Power of 3

·     🌀 Market Polarity Zones

_______________________________________________

🔚 Smart Exit Systems

·     📍 Trailing Smart Algorithm

_______________________________________________

📐 ZigZag Indicators

·     🔍 ZigZag Price LiquidityProjection

·     🧭 S&R Structural ZigZag

·     ➖ ZigZag

·     🎯 Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker

_______________________________________________

🧱 Support & Resistance Indicators

·     🟩 SmartTrend Support &Resistance Lines

·     🧱 All Support and ResistanceLevels

_______________________________________________

📊 Trend & Channel Indicators

·     🔄 Auto-Trend Channel

·     📊 Supertrend

·     ⚡Momentum Trend Analyzer

·     🧠 Adaptive Trend Channel

·     💥 Channel Breakout System

·     🌈 Dynamic Trend Gradient

·     ⭐ PREMIUM SSL CHANNEL

·     🔁 Reactive Moving Average

_______________________________________________

💧 Volume & Liquidity Tools

·     🔥 Volume POC Heatmap

·     📉 Leverage Liquidation Map

·     🔍 Momentum Fair Value Gap

·     🕒 Fair Value Gap Sessions

_______________________________________________

Momentum & RSI Indicators

·     📈 RSI Trend Trigger

·     🚀 Dynamic Range Momentum

·     🔎 Multi-Level Candle Bias
Tracker

_______________________________________________

🔮 Prediction & Projection Tools

·     📐 Prediction Based on Linreg& ATR

·     📏 Fibonacci Linear RegressionMulti-timeframe

·     📈 Volume-Powered Market Flow Projector

📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈

This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.

Here’s how it works:

🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.



🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\[
P(A|B) = \frac{P(B|A) \cdot P(A)}{P(B)}
\]
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.

- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.



🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.

---

🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.


🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.

⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀

0.0
리뷰: 0
고객 리뷰
이 상품에 대한 리뷰가 아직 없습니다. 이미 사용해 보셨나요? 다른 사람들에게 가장 먼저 소개해 주세요!
이 작성자의 상품 더 보기
무료
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
ZigZag
ZigZag filters noise, spots trends, patterns, pivots, aiding analysis, trade management, and confirmations. 📉📈
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Order Block
Identify bullish and bearish Order Blocks to spot key support/resistance levels and potential trend reversals! 📈🔄
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Auto-Trend Channel
Adaptive trend channel using linear regression and Pearson correlation for dynamic support, resistance, and trends.
지표
RSI
XAUUSD
Breakout
+5
BOS & CHOCH
Market structural patterns , specifically the concepts of Change of Character (ChoCH) 🔄 and Break of Structure (BoS) 💥
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Zones Supply Demand
📊Zones Supply & Demand: Identifies key price levels with high volume concentration, marking Supply/Demand Zones & Marke
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
All Support and Resistance Levels
"Identify key market zones and visualize support/resistance from multiple timeframes on a single chart.
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Volume POC Heatmap
📊 Shows volume by price levels, highlights POC, and key zones. Identifies dynamic support/resistance and imbalances.
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Supertrend
💹 Define a price channel 📈 and determine trend direction (bullish 🟢 or bearish 🔴).
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Fair Value Gap Sessions
identify and highlight temporary market inefficiencies known as "fair value gaps" 🚨 within specific trading Sessions.
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Dynamic Market Structure Analysis of Turning Points
Identify market structure effortlessly with swing highs, lows, CHoCH, and BOS levels for smart trading decisions! 📊🔍"
지표
Indices
RSI
XAUUSD
+7
RSI Divergence
Detects bullish and bearish divergences
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Trend Heikin Multi MA
🚀 TrendHeikinMultiMA: Advanced trend detection using Heikin-Ashi smoothing & MAs! Eliminates noise, confirms real trend
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Multi-Level Candle Bias Tracker
Price direction by calculating the probability of reaching new highs/lows. Shows levels & stats📈
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Leverage Liquidation Map
📊 Liquidation Map: Potential areas where highly leveraged investors might face liquidations.
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Market Trend OB
Price action to detect when the market changes trend (MSB) and defines, order blocks , ZigZag etc.📊
Advanced Market Structure Bos,Choch,SwinLevels, Order Blog
Advanced price action tool that combines multiple technical analysis concepts
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Swing Levels
🔍 Automatically detect support and resistance levels based on "swings" or pivots
지표
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker
Dynamically adjusts regression channels based on ZigZag extremes, resetting when price breaks bands to track real trends
좋아하실 만한 다른 항목
지표
NAS100
RSI
NZDUSD
+13
Stochastic RSI PRO
Unlock Stochastic RSI PRO in cTrader! Overlay RSI, highlight zones, and identify divergences with customizable settings.
지표
ATR
Forex
RISK V1
Automated position sizing based on risk, entry, and stop loss with ATR support and visual trade setup on charts.
지표
VWAP
VWAP-Free
VWAP only timeframe
지표
Grid
NAS100
XAUUSD
+6
AutoFibRetracement
A powerful overlay tool designed to automatically plot Fibonacci retracement levels based on a custom window.
지표
Forex
EURUSD
EconomicForex
ECONOMIC FOREX:provides insights into inflation, nominal interest rates and real interest rates, in the line chart
지표
ATR
Stocks
Commodities
+2
LevelMaster SR
LevelMaster S/R: Pinpoint key support & resistance zones with precision. Perfect for traders of all levels Trade smarter
지표
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Dynamic Range MomentumI
This histogram helps visualize the strength and direction of market movements, making it easier to spot potential trends
지표
NAS100
NZDUSD
Breakout
+12
Vwap_Quantum
Custom VWAP Indicator for cTrader
Daily Open Pivot Level
This indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to identify significant opening price level of any asset.
지표
Breakout
Scalping
SSL Channel
SSL Channel — Trusted by price action traders to stay on the right side of the trend.
지표
Indices
Prop
Stocks
+3
[Hamster-Coder] Price
Indicator designed to calculate and manipulate price inputs (sources) in real time
지표
RSI
MACD
Multi-Timeframe Market Levels
Unlock market insights with our Multi-Timeframe Market Levels indicator, enhancing your trading strategies effortlessly
지표
Bollinger
E7 Indicators Free Overlays
Bollinger Band Cloud, Heiken Ashi, Trend Follower and Parabolic SAR.
Support Resistance Zones
Support and Resistance.
지표
Indices
Prop
Commodities
+4
TrendPulse
BrickAlgo TrendPulse is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines multiple indicators with filterin mechanisms.
지표
VWAP
Anchored VWAP Buttons
Anchored VWAP Buttons
TDI_Pro
Traders Dynamic Index (TDI) — Divergence Edition
Cumulative Delta_noSourceCode
Demo of my main indcator.