Brokers & props
For business
00
Days
:
00
Hours
:
00
Minutes
:
00
Seconds
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
XAUUSD
Stocks
Forex
EURUSD
GBPUSD
Crypto
BTCUSD
USDJPY
Bayesian Price Projection Model
03/10/2025
125
Desktop
Since 03/10/2024
Sales
123
Free installs
24103
"Bayesian Price Projection Model" uploaded image"Bayesian Price Projection Model" uploaded image"Bayesian Price Projection Model" uploaded image"Bayesian Price Projection Model" uploaded image

🚀 10,000+ traders already use our TOP indicators🏆

Discover why professionals choose us – the most powerful tools on cTrader (indicators, algorithms, and cBots) are waiting for you.

👉 Get all our TOP systems here:

_______________________________________________

📌 Market Structure Indicators

·     ✅ AdvancedMarket Structure: Bos, Choch, SwinLevels, Order Blocks,  Market Structure& Liquidity Finder

·     🔄 Dynamic Market StructureAnalysis of Turning Points

·     🧱 Order Block

·     ⚖️ Market Imbalance

·     ⛓️ BOS & CHOCH

·     🧠 ICT Power of 3

·     🌀 Market Polarity Zones

_______________________________________________

🔚 Smart Exit Systems

·     📍 Trailing Smart Algorithm

_______________________________________________

📐 ZigZag Indicators

·     🔍 ZigZag Price LiquidityProjection

·     🧭 S&R Structural ZigZag

·     ➖ ZigZag

·     🎯 Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker

_______________________________________________

🧱 Support & Resistance Indicators

·     🟩 SmartTrend Support &Resistance Lines

·     🧱 All Support and ResistanceLevels

_______________________________________________

📊 Trend & Channel Indicators

·     🔄 Auto-Trend Channel

·     📊 Supertrend

·     ⚡Momentum Trend Analyzer

·     🧠 Adaptive Trend Channel

·     💥 Channel Breakout System

·     🌈 Dynamic Trend Gradient

·     ⭐ PREMIUM SSL CHANNEL

·     🔁 Reactive Moving Average

_______________________________________________

💧 Volume & Liquidity Tools

·     🔥 Volume POC Heatmap

·     📉 Leverage Liquidation Map

·     🔍 Momentum Fair Value Gap

·     🕒 Fair Value Gap Sessions

_______________________________________________

Momentum & RSI Indicators

·     📈 RSI Trend Trigger

·     🚀 Dynamic Range Momentum

·     🔎 Multi-Level Candle Bias
Tracker

_______________________________________________

🔮 Prediction & Projection Tools

·     📐 Prediction Based on Linreg& ATR

·     📏 Fibonacci Linear RegressionMulti-timeframe

·     📈 Volume-Powered Market Flow Projector

📊 Dynamic Price Projection Algorithm 📈

This algorithm combines **statistical calculations**, **technical analysis**, and **Bayesian theory** to forecast a future price while providing **uncertainty ranges** that represent upper and lower bounds. The calculations are designed to adjust projections by considering market **trends**, **volatility**, and the historical probabilities of reaching new highs or lows.

Here’s how it works:

🚀 Future Price Projection
A dynamic calculation estimates the future price based on three key elements:
1. **Trend**: Defines whether the market is predisposed to move up or down.
2. **Volatility**: Quantifies the magnitude of the expected change based on historical fluctuations.



🧠 **Bayesian Probabilistic Adjustment**
- Conditional probabilities are calculated using **Bayes' formula**:
\[
P(A|B) = \frac{P(B|A) \cdot P(A)}{P(B)}
\]
This models future events using conditional information:
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time high** if the price is trending upward.
- **Probability of reaching a new all-time low** if the price is trending downward.

- These probabilities refine the future price estimate by considering:
- **Higher volatility** increases the likelihood of hitting extreme levels (highs/lows).
- **Market trends** influence the expected price movement direction.



🌟 **Volatility Calculation**
- Volatility is measured using the **ATR (Average True Range)** indicator with a 14-period window. This reflects the average amplitude of price fluctuations.
- To express volatility as a percentage, the ATR is normalized by dividing it by the closing price and multiplying it by 200.
- Volatility is then categorized into descriptive levels (e.g., **Very Low**, **Low**, **Moderate**, etc.) for better interpretation.

---

🎯 **Deviation Limits (Upper and Lower)**
- The upper and lower limits form a **projected range** around the estimated future price, providing a framework for uncertainty.
- These limits are calculated by adjusting the ATR using:
- A user-defined **multiplier** (`factor_desviacion`).
- **Bayesian probabilities** calculated earlier.
- The **square root of the projected period** (`proyeccion_dias`), incorporating the principle that uncertainty grows over time.


🔍 **Interpreting the Model**
This can be seen as a **dynamic probabilistic model** that:
- Combines **technical analysis** (trends and ATR).
- Refines probabilities using **Bayesian theory**.
- Provides a **visual projection range** to help you understand potential future price movements and associated uncertainties.

⚡ Whether you're analyzing **volatile markets** or confirming **bullish/bearish scenarios**, this tool equips you with a robust, data-driven approach! 🚀

0.0
Reviews: 0
Customer reviews
No reviews for this product yet. Already tried it? Be the first to tell others!
More from this author
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
ZigZag
ZigZag filters noise, spots trends, patterns, pivots, aiding analysis, trade management, and confirmations. 📉📈
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Order Block
Identify bullish and bearish Order Blocks to spot key support/resistance levels and potential trend reversals! 📈🔄
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Auto-Trend Channel
Adaptive trend channel using linear regression and Pearson correlation for dynamic support, resistance, and trends.
Indicator
RSI
XAUUSD
Breakout
+5
BOS & CHOCH
Market structural patterns , specifically the concepts of Change of Character (ChoCH) 🔄 and Break of Structure (BoS) 💥
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Volume POC Heatmap
📊 Shows volume by price levels, highlights POC, and key zones. Identifies dynamic support/resistance and imbalances.
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
All Support and Resistance Levels
"Identify key market zones and visualize support/resistance from multiple timeframes on a single chart.
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Zones Supply Demand
📊Zones Supply & Demand: Identifies key price levels with high volume concentration, marking Supply/Demand Zones & Marke
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Supertrend
💹 Define a price channel 📈 and determine trend direction (bullish 🟢 or bearish 🔴).
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+6
Fair Value Gap Sessions
identify and highlight temporary market inefficiencies known as "fair value gaps" 🚨 within specific trading Sessions.
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Dynamic Market Structure Analysis of Turning Points
Identify market structure effortlessly with swing highs, lows, CHoCH, and BOS levels for smart trading decisions! 📊🔍"
Indicator
Indices
RSI
XAUUSD
+7
RSI Divergence
Detects bullish and bearish divergences
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Trend Heikin Multi MA
🚀 TrendHeikinMultiMA: Advanced trend detection using Heikin-Ashi smoothing & MAs! Eliminates noise, confirms real trend
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+4
Multi-Level Candle Bias Tracker
Price direction by calculating the probability of reaching new highs/lows. Shows levels & stats📈
Advanced Market Structure Bos,Choch,SwinLevels, Order Blog
Advanced price action tool that combines multiple technical analysis concepts
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Swing Levels
🔍 Automatically detect support and resistance levels based on "swings" or pivots
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Leverage Liquidation Map
📊 Liquidation Map: Potential areas where highly leveraged investors might face liquidations.
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Market Trend OB
Price action to detect when the market changes trend (MSB) and defines, order blocks , ZigZag etc.📊
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
Supertrend
Zig-Zag Extremity Tracker
Dynamically adjusts regression channels based on ZigZag extremes, resetting when price breaks bands to track real trends
You may also like
Indicator
VWAP
Indices
Commodities
+1
vwap
Custom VWAP Indicator for cTrader
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
XAUUSD
+10
Atlas Seasonal Returns Heatmap
🧭 See when your market tends to move—by Month, Day-of-Week, or Hour-of-Day🧭
HTFBB
Plot higher-timeframe Bollinger Bands for clearer structure, pullback zones, and breakout signals—without switching char
Indicator
Indices
Prop
Stocks
+3
Levels
Price Action Zone shows previous D/W/M key levels to help frame intraday price action, liquidity, and market structure.
Indicator
NAS100
Indices
XAUUSD
+6
NewsGuard High-Impact News Risk Overlay
Visual warning zones for high-impact news so you can manage risk before volatility hits.
VegaXLR - Fibonacci Alerts
Alerts you when price touches Fibonacci levels. Stay organized and trade efficiently!
Pivot Point Super Trend
Laser entries with pivot confirmation. No repaint, all timeframes. Professional results.
Supply Demand - BasicV1
Supply and demand zones. They're important. Here's a free version to get you started!
VWAP-Free
VWAP only timeframe
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
Martingale
+26
AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel
AbsorptionRatio_AutoRiskPanel is a single–symbol Absorption Ratio engine for cTrader that auto–calibrates its risk thres
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
Indices
+9
Belkhayate PRC BT
Belkhayate PRC (Polynomial Regression Channel)
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
Martingale
+26
CRT Indcator
CRTIndicator
Indicator
RSI
Breakout
XAUUSD
+5
Prime Trend Targets
PrimeTrend: ATR trendline detects reversals, plots entry/SL/3 targets. Tune params (speed vs. robustness). Backtest +
Indicator
XAUUSD
Forex
EURUSD
+2
FX Market Sessions
Visualize trading sessions with high/low levels, customizable colors, and live open session display
Repiptor Candlescope Lite
Candlestick pattern detector lite version
Indicator
Indices
RSI
Stocks
+3
Advanced RSI Indicator
Advanced RSI Indicator with multi-MA smoothing, Bollinger Bands, divergence detection, and fill zones for cTrader.
Indicator
NAS100
NZDUSD
Martingale
+26
OHLC PRO by LudwigICT
OHLC PRO – Advanced Session & Market Structure Tool